MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...the Michigan Thumb vicinity CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 291758Z - 292000Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...The evolution of an isolated supercell accompanied by at least some potential for a tornado, in addition SEVERE HAIL and wind, appears possible across the Michigan Thumb vicinity near Bad Axe through 3-5 PM EDT. DISCUSSION...Downstream of larger-scale mid-level troughing, with an embedded low, migrating northeastward into/through the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity, a strong south-southwesterly ....... more |