MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0542 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...much of western Kansas into southeast Colorado CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 271815Z - 272045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...A few severe storms may develop this afternoon near the front from southeast Colorado into parts of western Kansas, with large hail the primary threat. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows low pressure over southwest KS, with a dryline near the OK/TX Panhandle border. A prominent surface front stretches from southeast CO across west-central KS, with a few storms already near the ....... more |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0540 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Central to northeast KS CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely VALID 271633Z - 271830Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop during the early to mid-afternoon along the surface front across central to northeast Kansas. TORNADOES, large hail, and DAMAGING WINDS will all be possible. DISCUSSION...16Z surface analysis placed a quasi-stationary front across central to northeast KS. A swelling CU field with embedded small CBs have initiated along the portion of the front just north of SLN to ....... more |