Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0517 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...Southeastern Iowa...Northwestern Illinois...and far
Northern Missouri

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely

VALID 272217Z - 272315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent

SUMMARY
...Severe risk increasing. Watch likely to be issued within
the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Storm coverage has increased along the frontal boundary
extending through central Iowa to areas just north of the
Wisconsin/Illinois border. Air mass destabilization ahead of WW147
has yielded MLCAPE around 2000-3000 J/kg and modest deep layer
shear. VAD profiles from DMX depict a
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0546
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0431 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern KS/Western MO

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

VALID 272131Z - 272230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent

SUMMARY
...Tornado watch is warranted for eastern Kansas and western
Missouri.

DISCUSSION...Northeast-southwest oriented corridor of severe
convection extends across southeast KS into north-central OK.
Supercells are embedded along this zone which is gradually lifting
northeast into a modestly buoyant and strongly sheared environment.
LLJ is forecast to increase across eastern OK into southwest MO
later this
....... more