![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2216 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0534 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...over northeast Texas and into far southwest Arkansas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 202334Z - 210200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...A severe storm or two may affect parts of northeast Texas and vicinity this evening. Locally DAMAGING GUSTS along with hail over 1.00" diameter may occur. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a moist air mass over eastern TX, east of a cold front and south of a warm front which is nearly stationary. Surface winds are generally weak across the moist sector with little surface ....... more |