![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2196 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 PM CST Wed Nov 05 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Coastal Oregon CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 052009Z - 052215Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely-scattered low-topped storms are expected to move onshore over the next few hours. Very strong shear profiles will support some storm organization, with DAMAGING GUSTS and a brief waterspout/tornado possible. Conditions will be monitored, but a WW is currently not anticipated. DISCUSSION...As of 2005 UTC, afternoon water-vapor imagery showed a strong shortwave trough moving onshore over the Pacific ....... more |