NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...Arrowhead of Minnesota
CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
VALID 162224Z - 170030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent
SUMMARY...A few strong-severe thunderstorms are developing over the
Arrowhead region of Minnesota. Some risk for hail/wind can be
expected with these storms.
DISCUSSION...Southern extent of SK/ON short-wave trough is
influencing the international border region, especially the
Arrowhead of MN. Strong boundary-layer heating has contributed to
substantial buoyancy across this region, and inhibition is currently
negligible ....... more