![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2323 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0238 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...Texas South Plains into Permian Basin CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 211938Z - 212145Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Widely scattered to potentially scattered storms may become briefly severe and be capable of large hail and marginally SEVERE WIND GUSTS. Weak shear and modest thermodynamics should preclude watch issuance this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Widely scattered storms have developed near the intersection of a weak surface trough and cold front. The cold front has been moving to southwest around 15 kt. ....... more |