![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1497 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Western Kansas and southeast Colorado CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 282336Z - 290100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...High-based storms will be capable of producing a few downbursts with strong-severe outflow gusts, but a watch is unlikely. DISCUSSION...High-based convection continues to form in a deeply mixed environment with hot surface temperatures from southeast CO into western KS, with new development likely with outflow mergers. Inverted-V profiles will favor strong downbursts with isolated severe ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1496 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Western Nebraska CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 282318Z - 290045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...Multicell clusters with isolated severe outflow gusts will be possible, but the need for a watch is uncertain. DISCUSSION...High-based storms have developed along a surface trough from northeast CO into the NE Panhandle. These storms are primarily driven by surface heating/mixing, with new development expected along convective outflows that spread eastward into the larger buoyancy. The storms/clusters will be ....... more |