Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1468
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of the FL Peninsula

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 271734Z - 271930Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Strong to isolated severe storms are possible this
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Storms are increasing in coverage early this afternoon
along the east coast of the FL Peninsula. Deep-layer flow is
generally weak, but some veering of low-level winds and effective
shear in the 20-25 kt range near the sea breeze could support
occasional modest storm organization, given favorable buoyancy
(MLCAPE of greater than
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1210 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...Northern IN into parts of Lower MI and far
northwest OH

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 271710Z - 271915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...Storms capable of wind damage may develop this afternoon.
Watch issuance is possible.

DISCUSSION...Strong heating is underway along/east of a cold front
from northern IN into southern/eastern Lower MI. Despite weak
midlevel lapse rates, continued heating of a richly moist
environment will result in MLCAPE increasing to near/above 1500-2000
J/kg with time this afternoon.
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1466
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1147 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...Northeast OH...northwest PA...western NY...northern
WV Panhandle

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 271647Z - 271845Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Locally DAMAGING WINDS are possible this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster has recently intensified
near/north of Cleveland. With some heating/destabilization ongoing
downstream of this cluster, maintenance or some intensification of
these storms cannot be ruled out this afternoon, with additional
development possible farther south with time across
....... more