Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Mesoscale Discussions are listed in the order issued.
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1468
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0107 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...western South Dakota

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch needed soon

VALID 031807Z - 031830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent

SUMMARY
...Isolated thunderstorms are expected to persist near the
Black Hills and develop southeast through the afternoon into early
evening. Large hail up to 2.5 inches and DAMAGING GUSTS are
expected.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms over the Black Hills have gradually
intensified early this afternoon in a modest upslope flow regime.
Temperatures remain somewhat cool across western South Dakota due to
the influence of
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 AM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Portions of Northern Alabama and Georgia into
central and eastern Tennessee

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 031654Z - 031900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Scattered thunderstorms -- some of which may be marginally
severe -- are expected to develop and increase in coverage across
much of the Southeast this afternoon. The strongest storms will be
capable of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS of 60 MPH.

DISCUSSION...Surface temperatures across much of the Southeast have
reached the low 90s F, and as heating begins to reach
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1466
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Northern Pennsylvania into southwestern New York

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 031625Z - 031830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...STRONG TO SEVERE thunderstorms are expected this afternoon
across portions of northern Pennsylvania into southwestern New York,
some of which will be capable of 55-70 MPH wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have begun developing in far northwestern
Pennsylvania amidst a general trend of deepening boundary layer
cumulus on visible satellite. Surface temperatures have already
risen
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