Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA
Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1812 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0330 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...central/eastern Colorado...northeastern New Mexico CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 312030Z - 312230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Marginal risk for damaging wind and hail this afternoon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed across the high terrain in central and eastern Colorado into northeastern New Mexico. Instability is modest, but steep low to mid-level lapse rates and sufficient deep layer shear should support some potential for a few ORGANIZED STORMS. Deeply mixed profiles, inverted-v profiles, ....... more