![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1615 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0522 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...portions of central Montana CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 142222Z - 142345Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms should develop over the next few hours, posing a severe gust threat. A WW issuance may be needed pending greater storm coverage. DISCUSSION...Hints at convective initiation (via the detection of lightning with NLDN data) are underway along the eastern fringe of a cloud shield overspreading the northern Rockies in association with a 500 mb wind maximum grazing central MT. Here, ....... more |