Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2092
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0315 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...Southeast Colorado...northeast New Mexico...far
western OK/TX Panhandles

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 172015Z - 172215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...Large hail and severe winds will be possible with initial
supercells. With time a cluster or two may move into the southern
High Plains with an attendant wind threat. A watch is possible this
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Cumulus development has become more prominent from near
Colorado Springs southward to the Raton Mesa this afternoon--with
recent thunderstorm
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0216 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...southern Louisiana

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 171916Z - 172145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorms capable of locally STRONG TO SEVERE
downbursts through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity is increasing in coverage across
portions on southern Louisiana, with occasional echo tops to 40-50
kft. Strong daytime heating amid upper 60s dew points has yielded
MLCAPE around 1500-2000 J/kg (MUCAPE >3000 J/kg) across the region.
In addition, 18z observed soundings from LCH and SHV depict a
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