![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of Missouri and far southeast Kansas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 181949Z - 182145Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms will gradually increase in intensity and coverage while spreading/developing eastward this afternoon into the evening, posing a risk of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS and isolated SEVERE HAIL. It is unclear if a watch will be needed, though convective and environmental trends are being monitored. DISCUSSION...Within the base of a vertically stacked cyclone over the northern Plains, ....... more |