Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1606
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0249 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...southern/central Arizona

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 121949Z - 122145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...Isolated strong to SEVERE WIND GUSTS are expected this
afternoon into this evening across parts of southern/central
Arizona. Trends are being monitored for possible watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Deepening cumulus is noted in visible satellite imagery
across parts of southeast AZ, with ongoing thunderstorms further
north along the Mogollon Rim as of 1945 UTC. Steep midlevel lapse
rates and abundant midlevel
....... more