![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1606 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...southern/central Arizona CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 121949Z - 122145Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong to SEVERE WIND GUSTS are expected this afternoon into this evening across parts of southern/central Arizona. Trends are being monitored for possible watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Deepening cumulus is noted in visible satellite imagery across parts of southeast AZ, with ongoing thunderstorms further north along the Mogollon Rim as of 1945 UTC. Steep midlevel lapse rates and abundant midlevel ....... more |