Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1586
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...northern Arkansas into western Tennessee and
northern Mississippi

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 111734Z - 112000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...Scattered storms will develop this afternoon, with
corridors of DAMAGING GUSTS possible.

DISCUSSION...A shortwave trough over MO will move slowly east, with
enhanced 30-40 kt midlevel westerlies from southern MO/northern AR
into KY and TN. Also evident on area VWPs are 20-25 kt 850 mb winds,
overall favoring storm clusters and a few longer-lived cells.

Visible
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1157 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...much of South Carolina into portions of southern
North Carolina and far eastern Georgia

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 111657Z - 111830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent

SUMMARY
...Scattered thunderstorms will evolve east-southeastward
through this afternoon and evening, bringing a threat for damaging
wind gusts to portions of the Carolina Piedmont and Coastal Plain.

DISCUSSION...Aided by forcing for ascent from a remnant MCV embedded
within deep-layer westerly flow (around 30 kts of westerly mid-level
flow sampled by the
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