![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2161 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0659 PM CDT Sun Oct 19 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Central PA into parts of the Mid Atlantic CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 192359Z - 200230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong/DAMAGING GUSTS are possible this evening. DISCUSSION...Multiple low-topped rain bands are ongoing this evening from central PA into parts of the Mid Atlantic, along and just ahead of an eastward-moving cold front. Buoyancy is very weak to negligible (with SBCAPE of around 100-200 J/kg or less) and no lightning is being produced with these bands, but strong ascent related to ....... more |