![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2039 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0805 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...portions of far northeast Texas into extreme southeast Oklahoma CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 060105Z - 060200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...A few severe gusts could still occur over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...A multicellular cluster has produced at least one pronounced downburst, with wind damage noted, along with 1+ inch diameter hail. This complex continues to track north of a zonal frontal boundary, where 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE resides downstream. 30-40 kts of effective bulk shear and the ....... more |