![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0387 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1039 PM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Portions of southwest and central Texas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 040339Z - 040545Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...The severe risk will increase by 06Z across portions of southwest and central Texas. Large hail will be the primary concern, though SEVERE WIND GUSTS and possibly a tornado cannot be ruled out. A watch will likely be issued within the hour. DISCUSSION...The latest water-vapor imagery loops and VWP data depict a midlevel impulse advancing northeastward across northern Mexico -- within the base ....... more |