Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1114 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...northeast Texas into the ArkLaTex vicinity

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely

VALID 261714Z - 261845Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent

SUMMARY
...Severe thunderstorm potential will gradually increase into
the afternoon hours across northeast Texas and the ArkLaTex
vicinity. Large hail to 1.75 inch diameter and severe gusts to 65
mph are possible. A severe thunderstorm watch will be issued soon.

DISCUSSION...A surface low near/just south of the Dallas-Fort Worth
Metroplex will develop east through this afternoon
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2282
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...The Texas Coastal Plain into East Texas

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

VALID 261623Z - 261900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent

SUMMARY
...The severe thunderstorm threat is expected to steadily
increase through the late morning and afternoon as the environment
becomes more favorable for robust convection. Watch issuance is
anticipated in the coming hours to address this threat.

DISCUSSION...Open warm sector convection has been steadily
increasing in both coverage and depth over the past hour across the
TX Coastal Plain
....... more