MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2283 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1114 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...northeast Texas into the ArkLaTex vicinity CONCERNING...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely VALID 261714Z - 261845Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential will gradually increase into the afternoon hours across northeast Texas and the ArkLaTex vicinity. Large hail to 1.75 inch diameter and severe gusts to 65 mph are possible. A severe thunderstorm watch will be issued soon. DISCUSSION...A surface low near/just south of the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex will develop east through this afternoon ....... more |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2282 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1023 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...The Texas Coastal Plain into East Texas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely VALID 261623Z - 261900Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe thunderstorm threat is expected to steadily increase through the late morning and afternoon as the environment becomes more favorable for robust convection. Watch issuance is anticipated in the coming hours to address this threat. DISCUSSION...Open warm sector convection has been steadily increasing in both coverage and depth over the past hour across the TX Coastal Plain ....... more |