Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1532
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1214 PM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...parts of Mississippi...Alabama...and far eastern
Louisiana

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 011714Z - 011845Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...Isolated DAMAGING WINDS possible this afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Strong morning insolation has allowed temperatures to
warm into the upper 80s amid a very moist boundary layer,
characterized by dew point temperatures into the mid 70s F. This has
resulted in destabilization of the environment, yielding 2500 J/kg
of MLCAPE. Visible satellite/radar is now indicating
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1531
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...parts of the Southeast

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 011700Z - 011900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Locally strong gusts, from predominately wet microbursts
with slow-moving widespread thunderstorms, may produce isolated
DAMAGING WINDS through the rest of the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms are underway well to the south
of the primary shortwave impulse moving east across the Upper OH
Valley. With enhancement from a minor MCV near the middle TN/central
KY border, guidance suggests
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...parts of the Northeast and southern New England

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 011628Z - 011830Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent

SUMMARY
...An isolated damaging wind threat from strong gusts is
anticipated this afternoon across parts of the Northeast into
southern New England. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is possible
if a more concentrated corridor of DAMAGING WINDS becomes apparent.

DISCUSSION...To the north of the favored region for scattered
DAMAGING WINDS across southern PA/NJ this afternoon, a more
....... more