![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1635 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0511 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...north-central and northeast North Dakota CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 162211Z - 170015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...The threat for at least isolated occurrences of large hail and SEVERE WIND GUSTS is expected to increase this evening. Convective trends are being monitored for a possible severe thunderstorm watch. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery depicts a deepening cumulus field across portions of Bottineau and McHenry Counties in the vicinity of a subtle meso-low triple point. Latest deterministic ....... more |