![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2093 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0501 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...portions of southern into central Iowa CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 172201Z - 172330Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent SUMMARY...A couple of additional severe gusts are possible over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...An organized multicellular cluster has developed over southern IA, with a recent history of producing at least one measured severe gust. This cluster is showing slight bowing tendencies as it progresses through an ambient environment characterized by 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE. However, vertical wind shear is ....... more |