MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0826 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...parts of central and northern Wisconsin into western Upper Michigan CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 182003Z - 182200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms will increase in coverage over the next few hours, with areas of strong to locally DAMAGING GUSTS and marginal hail. DISCUSSION...Strong heating across the area has resulted in up to 1000 J/kg MLCAPE as temperatures rise through the 80s F. A prominent cold front/wind shift is moving across western WI and into the western MI U.P. with signs of deepening ....... more |