MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0518 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0919 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...portions of west and northwest Texas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 260219Z - 260345Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe threat is increasing through the evening/overnight. A watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted near the Permian Basin across southwestern Texas. Expectations are for further development to continue through the next few hours, with upscale growth into a potential MCS overnight. Given the potential for upscale growth, the main threats will likely ....... more |