MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0737 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...southeastern Ohio and West Virginia CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 100000Z - 100200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Local/isolated risk for STRONG WIND GUSTS will persist for a few hours. WW not anticipated. DISCUSSION...Latest radar shows an uptick in convection from southern Ohio to northern West Virginia, in the vicinity of a southeastern Ohio surface low, and attendant baroclinic zones. Ahead of the front, RAP-based objective analysis suggests that diurnal heating has pushed mixed-layer CAPE to near ....... more |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0736 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0624 PM CDT Thu May 09 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...northeastern Louisiana...southeastern Arkansas...and west-central Mississippi CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 092324Z - 100100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...Storms continue to gradually increase across the west-central Mississippi Vicinity. Additional storm development may require WW issuance to be considered. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection gradually increasing in coverage and intensity across the west-central Mississippi vicinity, in the vicinity of a west-to-east baroclinic zone. ....... more |