NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0116 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...the eastern FL Peninsula
CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
VALID 181816Z - 182015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms are possible this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...A very warm and moist airmass is in place across the FL
Peninsula this afternoon, with temperatures rising into the mid 90s
F and dewpoints well into the 70s F. Recent objective mesoanalyses
and the 15Z XMR sounding (modified for current surface conditions)
indicate that MLCAPE has increased to near/above 2500 J/kg across
most of the ....... more