MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0514 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0347 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...southwest Kansas into the central Texas Panhandle CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 252047Z - 252315Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent SUMMARY...A narrow zone of isolated storm potential exists from southwest Kansas into the central Texas Panhandle, with conditional supercell threat. DISCUSSION...Clouds hampered heating for much of the day from the South Plains into most of the TX Panhandle, but boundary layer mixing continues with decreasing clouds. High-based cumulus have formed within the warmer, deeply mixed air mass ....... more |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0513 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0223 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...northeast Colorado into much of northwest Kansas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 251923Z - 252200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 percent SUMMARY...Storms are expected to rapidly develop along the boundary from northeast Colorado into northwest Kansas, and far southwest Nebraska. Very large hail is likely, along with A FEW TORNADOES and DAMAGING GUSTS. DISCUSSION...Strong heating persists across the region, now on both sides of a stationary front extending from northeast CO into northwest KS. Southeasterly surface winds have ....... more |