Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA
Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0915 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CDT Thu Jun 01 2023 AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of western OK...far south-central KS...and far northwest TX CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 012036Z - 012230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Marginally SEVERE HAIL and strong to locally severe gusts will be possible this afternoon. A watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered storms are evolving over western Oklahoma this afternoon -- along the eastern edge of outflow from earlier convection over the TX Panhandle. Downstream, efficient diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer ....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 PM CDT Thu Jun 01 2023 AREAS AFFECTED...Southeastern New Mexico into parts of west TX CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible VALID 012010Z - 012215Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 percent SUMMARY...The potential for severe thunderstorms capable of all hazards will likely increase during the next few hours, and a watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...In the wake of earlier convective processing over the Texas South Plains, surface observations and visible satellite imagery show a remnant outflow boundary extending from southeastern New Mexico eastward into the Texas South Plains. ....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0913 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0245 PM CDT Thu Jun 01 2023 AREAS AFFECTED...Parts of east-central New Mexico into west Texas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 011945Z - 012215Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...The potential for isolated large hail and locally severe gusts should increase during the next few hours across parts of east-central New Mexico into west Texas. DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered convection is evolving along the higher terrain in east-central New Mexico this afternoon -- where a feed of moist easterly low-level flow (upper 50s to lower 60s dewpoints) is ....... more