MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0613 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0118 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...parts of the Texas South Plains and Permian Basin CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 031818Z - 032015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm development, including a couple of evolving supercells, appears increasingly probable through 2-4 PM CDT. Strongest storms may eventually become capable of producing large hail in excess of 3 inches in diameter, and perhaps potential for a tornado. DISCUSSION...Seasonably high boundary-layer moisture content beneath steep lapse rates ....... more |