Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1236 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...West to southwest Texas

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely

VALID 041736Z - 042000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorm development along a southward-surging cold
front is likely within the next 1-2 hours with additional convection
expected later this afternoon across southwest TX. Given a favorable
environment for organized severe convection, one or more watches
will likely be needed in the coming hours.

DISCUSSION...Transient convection, along with a more robust cell
near Snyder, TX, is noted along and just
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0628
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1049 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024

AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern Oklahoma to central Arkansas and southern
Missouri

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 041549Z - 041745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase through the
late morning and afternoon hours, but an overall limited kinematic
environment should modulate the severe threat. However, a few
instances of SEVERE HAIL and DAMAGING WINDS appears possible through
early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Over the past 60 minutes, a handful of convective
towers and developing thunderstorms have
....... more