MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0804 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...northern Arkansas...south eastern Missouri...southern Illinois...far western Kentucky CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 162025Z - 162230Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Marginal wind and hail risk through the evening. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity is expected to increase in coverage this afternoon and evening across portions of the Ozarks to the middle Mississippi Valley. A few more organized clusters and a supercell or two may be possible as forcing increases from a mid-level speed max moves across this ....... more |