MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0629 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1236 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...West to southwest Texas CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely VALID 041736Z - 042000Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development along a southward-surging cold front is likely within the next 1-2 hours with additional convection expected later this afternoon across southwest TX. Given a favorable environment for organized severe convection, one or more watches will likely be needed in the coming hours. DISCUSSION...Transient convection, along with a more robust cell near Snyder, TX, is noted along and just ....... more |