MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0569 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Ozarks region CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 290447Z - 290645Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...there is a low risk of a BRIEF TORNADO, and/or gusty winds, with convection early this morning. DISCUSSION...Weak mid-level short-wave trough is ejecting northeast across MO late this evening. This feature appears largely responsible for MCS that is propagating across central MO. Southwestern flank of this complex trails across the MO Ozarks into northwest AR. Isolated supercells are embedded along this ....... more |