![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1582 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...north-central North Carolina into far southern Virginia CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 062044Z - 062215Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent SUMMARY...A BRIEF TORNADO or strong wind gust will remain possible with the convection near the remnant core of TD Chantal. DISCUSSION...Afternoon imagery shows the remnants of TD Chantal located across portions of north-central NC near 34.4 deg N 79.2 deg W. Within the broader precip shield, a few deeper convective towers have remained strong with occasional cyclonic rotation ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...portions of northern Maine CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 062026Z - 062200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, including a few supercells, may pose a risk for DAMAGING GUSTS and small hail this afternoon/evening. A WW is unlikely. DISCUSSION...As of 2020 UTC, regional radar and satellite imagery showed convection was strengthening across portions of Maine. As temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s, around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE has developed with dewpoints ....... more |
![]() | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1580 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern New Mexico CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 061918Z - 062145Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms emanating off the southern Rockies will pose an isolated severe wind/hail threat through the late afternoon and early evening hours. Watch issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development within the Sangre de Cristo and Sacramento mountains is evident in recent GOES imagery. Weak mid-level flow over the region will likely result in slow storm propagation off the higher terrain, but as ....... more |