Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1582
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...north-central North Carolina into far southern
Virginia

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 062044Z - 062215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...A BRIEF TORNADO or strong wind gust will remain possible
with the convection near the remnant core of TD Chantal.

DISCUSSION...Afternoon imagery shows the remnants of TD Chantal
located across portions of north-central NC near 34.4 deg N 79.2 deg
W. Within the broader precip shield, a few deeper convective towers
have remained strong with occasional cyclonic rotation
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0326 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...portions of northern Maine

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 062026Z - 062200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent

SUMMARY
...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms, including a
few supercells, may pose a risk for DAMAGING GUSTS and small hail
this afternoon/evening. A WW is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...As of 2020 UTC, regional radar and satellite imagery
showed convection was strengthening across portions of Maine. As
temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s, around 1000
J/kg of MLCAPE has developed with dewpoints
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1580
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...Eastern New Mexico

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

VALID 061918Z - 062145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorms emanating off the southern Rockies will pose
an isolated severe wind/hail threat through the late afternoon and
early evening hours. Watch issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development within the Sangre de Cristo
and Sacramento mountains is evident in recent GOES imagery. Weak
mid-level flow over the region will likely result in slow storm
propagation off the higher terrain, but as
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