Southern Indiana Weather Spotter's Reference
Current Mesoscale Discussions for the USA

Checks for Severe Potential, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, and Freezing Rain
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0787
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Northern Indiana/Ohio into Southeastern Michigan

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch likely

VALID 191744Z - 191915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorms capable of DAMAGING WIND GUSTS are
anticipated this afternoon across portions of northern Indiana/Ohio
into southeastern Michigan. A severe thunderstorm watch is likely.

DISCUSSION...Current expectations are that thunderstorm coverage
will continue to increase this afternoon in an environment
characterized by steep low-level lapse rates, strong buoyancy, and
modest
....... more

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0786
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1231 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

AREAS AFFECTED...Lower Ohio River Valley

CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch possible

VALID 191731Z - 191930Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 percent

SUMMARY
...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase this
afternoon across much of the Ohio River Valley as daytime heating
brings the boundary layer to convective temperatures. These storms
will primarily be capable of damaging straight-line winds and hail.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have begun to develop within moist and
uncapped boundary layers where MLCAPE exceeds 2500 J/kg. Convective
coverage is expected to
....... more