MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0641 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0116 PM CDT Sun May 05 2024 AREAS AFFECTED...Northeast AR...Southeast MO...Northwest MS...Western TN CONCERNING...Severe potential...Watch unlikely VALID 051816Z - 052015Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 percent SUMMARY...Some threat for locally DAMAGING WINDS and a BRIEF TORNADO will spread northeastward this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A convectively enhanced shortwave trough is moving northeastward across the ArkLaTex region this afternoon. A loosely organized arc of convection is ongoing along the northeastern periphery of the deeper cloud field associated with the shortwave, from northeast AR ....... more |